By far the most comprehensive and best-informed analysis of global agriculture and its development over the next 10 years is the just-published Outlook, compiled by the joint resources of the Food and Agricultural Organisation of the United Nations (FAO) and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).

So, in the over 300 pages, what were the standout messages? The first was the general view that stability in the world’s capacity to produce sufficient food has been reached, future population growth will be the main driver of demand and this is likely to be met by increased productivity on the existing land base. Some extra land will be brought into production, but in percentage terms, the amount is small.