This week, the latest Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) report was published detailing the crop condition and forecast for wheat, maize, rice and soya beans globally.
The outlook for global wheat production in 2020 has dampened somewhat since last month, as early forecasts point to record maize and rice outputs and a recovery in soya bean production.
Despite the many uncertainties stemming from economic and health implications of the COVID-19 pandemic, stronger trade dynamics are expected for all AMIS crops in the new season (2020/21) along with generally improved demand prospects.
The crop condition map compiles the information for all four AMIS crops as of the end of May.
Crop conditions over the main growing areas for wheat, maize, rice, and soybean are based on a combination of national and regional crop analyst inputs along with earth observation data.
Wheat
The AIMS report suggests that wheat production in 2020 could fall below last year’s level following this month’s downward revisions in the EU, the Russian federation and Ukraine, mostly on unfavourable weather conditions.
In the EU, dry conditions continue to restrict growth across much of central Europe. Rainfall over the next month will be required to sustain yields.
In the UK, winter wheat is under watch conditions due to persistent dryness this spring. In Turkey, winter wheat conditions are favourable.
In Ukraine, winter wheat is under pressure as dryness persists, especially in the south where the situation is approaching critical.
In the Russian federation, conditions are generally favourable for winter wheat, with the exception of the southern regions where drought has caused damage. Sowing of spring wheat is ongoing under favourable conditions.
In Kazakhstan, winter wheat conditions are favourable in the south, while sowing of spring wheat gets into full swing in the north under favourable conditions.
In China, winter wheat is under favourable conditions, with an increase in sown area compared with last year. Spring wheat sowing is ongoing under favourable conditions.
In India, the harvest is wrapping up under very good conditions with a bumper crop expected.
In the US, winter wheat is under generally favourable conditions, albeit with some dryness in the western reaches of the Great Plains. Spring wheat sowing is progressing under favourable conditions.
In Canada, conditions are favourable across the country for winter wheat germination and spring wheat sowing.
In Australia, sowing is beginning across the country under generally favourable conditions, except for some dryness in Queensland.
What and maize conditions globally.
Maize
2020 maize production is ecpected to exceed the 2019 record significantly (by approximately 5.6%), boosted by record harvests expected in the US, Canada and Ukraine, and near-record in Brazil and Argentina
In Brazil, the summer-planted (larger season) crop has shown good development in the central-west. However, a persistent lack of rain in the south, particularly in Parana, has hampered crop development. An increase in total sown area is estimated mainly in the states outside of the south.
In Argentina, harvest of both the spring-planted and summer-planted crops is continuing under generally favourable conditions, except for the provinces of San Luis and Entre Ríos, where prolonged dry conditions have taken their toll on the crops.
In South Africa, the harvest is wrapping up under exceptional conditions in the central growing states.
In the US, conditions are favourable, with crop development on schedule.
In Canada, conditions are mixed, as cold conditions have put crops in Ontario behind normal development.
In Mexico, harvest is ongoing for the autumn-winter (smaller season) crop under favourable conditions. Sowing of the spring-summer (larger season) crop continues under favourable conditions.
In the EU, conditions are largely under watch, as the crop is emerging under dry conditions across most countries. In Ukraine, low temperatures and frosts have been unfavourable for crop development.
In the Russian federation, conditions are generally favourable. In India, harvest of the Rabi crop is wrapping up under favourable conditions.
In China, spring-planted maize is under favourable conditions for continued sowing in the northeast and early vegetative development in the south.
This week, the latest Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) report was published detailing the crop condition and forecast for wheat, maize, rice and soya beans globally.
The outlook for global wheat production in 2020 has dampened somewhat since last month, as early forecasts point to record maize and rice outputs and a recovery in soya bean production.
Despite the many uncertainties stemming from economic and health implications of the COVID-19 pandemic, stronger trade dynamics are expected for all AMIS crops in the new season (2020/21) along with generally improved demand prospects.
The crop condition map compiles the information for all four AMIS crops as of the end of May.
Crop conditions over the main growing areas for wheat, maize, rice, and soybean are based on a combination of national and regional crop analyst inputs along with earth observation data.
Wheat
The AIMS report suggests that wheat production in 2020 could fall below last year’s level following this month’s downward revisions in the EU, the Russian federation and Ukraine, mostly on unfavourable weather conditions.
In the EU, dry conditions continue to restrict growth across much of central Europe. Rainfall over the next month will be required to sustain yields.
In the UK, winter wheat is under watch conditions due to persistent dryness this spring. In Turkey, winter wheat conditions are favourable.
In Ukraine, winter wheat is under pressure as dryness persists, especially in the south where the situation is approaching critical.
In the Russian federation, conditions are generally favourable for winter wheat, with the exception of the southern regions where drought has caused damage. Sowing of spring wheat is ongoing under favourable conditions.
In Kazakhstan, winter wheat conditions are favourable in the south, while sowing of spring wheat gets into full swing in the north under favourable conditions.
In China, winter wheat is under favourable conditions, with an increase in sown area compared with last year. Spring wheat sowing is ongoing under favourable conditions.
In India, the harvest is wrapping up under very good conditions with a bumper crop expected.
In the US, winter wheat is under generally favourable conditions, albeit with some dryness in the western reaches of the Great Plains. Spring wheat sowing is progressing under favourable conditions.
In Canada, conditions are favourable across the country for winter wheat germination and spring wheat sowing.
In Australia, sowing is beginning across the country under generally favourable conditions, except for some dryness in Queensland.
What and maize conditions globally.
Maize
2020 maize production is ecpected to exceed the 2019 record significantly (by approximately 5.6%), boosted by record harvests expected in the US, Canada and Ukraine, and near-record in Brazil and Argentina
In Brazil, the summer-planted (larger season) crop has shown good development in the central-west. However, a persistent lack of rain in the south, particularly in Parana, has hampered crop development. An increase in total sown area is estimated mainly in the states outside of the south.
In Argentina, harvest of both the spring-planted and summer-planted crops is continuing under generally favourable conditions, except for the provinces of San Luis and Entre Ríos, where prolonged dry conditions have taken their toll on the crops.
In South Africa, the harvest is wrapping up under exceptional conditions in the central growing states.
In the US, conditions are favourable, with crop development on schedule.
In Canada, conditions are mixed, as cold conditions have put crops in Ontario behind normal development.
In Mexico, harvest is ongoing for the autumn-winter (smaller season) crop under favourable conditions. Sowing of the spring-summer (larger season) crop continues under favourable conditions.
In the EU, conditions are largely under watch, as the crop is emerging under dry conditions across most countries. In Ukraine, low temperatures and frosts have been unfavourable for crop development.
In the Russian federation, conditions are generally favourable. In India, harvest of the Rabi crop is wrapping up under favourable conditions.
In China, spring-planted maize is under favourable conditions for continued sowing in the northeast and early vegetative development in the south.
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