After another year of COVID-19, a sensible new year’s resolution is to accept that many people, however literate or well-informed about current affairs, are not good with numbers, especially large numbers. This manifests itself in two principal ways. People struggle to think in probabilistic terms and they find it hard to comprehend very large numbers.

Everyone knows that Leitrim is not going to win the hurling championship anytime soon and would be slow to back their chances even at generous odds, like 20 to one. But they understand that only an eejit will offer 20 to one against Limerick.